Module 7-4: Creating a Strategy Based on Price Action

Creating a Strategy Based on Price Action

What is Price Action (PA)?

Price Action (PA) is the trading discipline that consists of making entry and exit decisions based solely on the historical and current movement of prices, as seen on candlestick charts.

Unlike strategies based on technical indicators (like the MACD or RSI), which are lagging (show what already happened), PA is a pure and direct analysis. It focuses on market structure, horizontal levels, and the shape of the candles, eliminating the complexity and lag that indicators often introduce.

The Three Pillars of a Price Action Strategy

Every Price Action strategy is built on the foundation of three interconnected components:

1. Market Structure and Trend

This is the fundamental context. Structure defines who is in control: buyers or sellers.

  • Uptrend: Price consistently creates Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL). The strategy should look for purchases (Longs) on pullbacks (Higher Lows).
  • Downtrend: Price creates Lower Lows (LL) and Lower Highs (LH). The strategy should look for sales (Shorts) on pullbacks (Lower Highs).
  • Consolidation/Range: Sideways movement without a clear direction. Trading involves buying at support and selling at resistance.
Highs and Higher Lows connected

2. Supply and Demand Zones (Support and Resistance)

These are price levels where institutional liquidity has historically entered to reverse the direction.

  • Demand (Support): Level where buying pressure exceeds selling pressure, stopping declines. We look for bullish patterns here.
  • Supply (Resistance): Level where selling pressure exceeds buying pressure, stopping advances. We look for bearish patterns here.

The key principle is: Price has memory. A Price Action strategy will always wait for the price to return to test these levels before executing a trade.

3. Candlestick Confirmation Patterns

Once the price reaches a key zone (Support/Resistance), we need a signal that the level will be respected. Candlestick patterns serve as the trigger for entry.

Key PatternTypeSignificance in Key Zone
Pin BarReversalLong wick indicating strong price rejection.
EngulfingReversalThe current candle body completely engulfs the previous candle body, showing an abrupt change in momentum.
DojiIndecisionOften seen before a sharp move.

The Strategy Building Framework: The 3 C’s

A professional PA strategy uses Multi-Timeframe Analysis (MTF) to build a statistical advantage.

StepNameTypical Time FramePurpose
1. ContextDirectionDaily (D1) or H4Set the bias: Is the main trend bullish or bearish? Where is the next important liquidity level (SL and TP)?
2. ConfluenceKey ZoneH4 or H1Wait for the pullback: Price must reach a Supply or Demand zone defined in the Context.
3. ConfirmationTriggerH1, M30, or M15Look for the signal: Wait for a reversal candlestick pattern (Pin Bar, Engulfing) that confirms the rejection of the zone.

Practical Example: “Daily Demand Reversal” Strategy

This is an example of a strategy that integrates the 3 C’s for a high-probability entry:

  1. Context (D1): The GBPUSD pair is in a strong downtrend (LLs and LHs). The main bias is Short.
  2. Confluence (H4): Price makes a large bullish pullback up to the 200 Exponential Moving Average (200 EMA), which acts as dynamic resistance (a Supply zone).
  3. Confirmation (H1): Price touches the 200 EMA, and immediately after, the H1 candle closes as a Bearish Engulfing or a Bearish Pin Bar (indicating sellers have regained control in that key zone).
  4. Execution (H1):
    • Entry: Sell (Short) at the close of the confirmation candle (the trigger).
    • Stop Loss (SL): Placed just above the high of the confirmation candle + a small safety buffer.
    • Take Profit (TP): Aim for the previous Lower Low (LL), ensuring a minimum RRR of 1:2.
showing the price touching the 200 EMA

This methodology ensures you never trade blindly. You wait patiently for all elements to align: the HTF direction, the key zone, and the trigger.

Did that make sense? Let’s put it to the test.

Creating a Strategy Based on Price Action

tail spin

1 / 5

The main golden rule in an uptrend is to look for buying opportunities (Longs) at the Higher Lows (HLs).

2 / 5

If the price is at a Demand zone, which candlestick patterns are typically sought as bullish reversal signals (buy trigger)? (Select two correct options)

3 / 5

In the 3 C's model (Context, Confluence, Execution), which time frame is primarily used to define the direction and main bias of the trade?

4 / 5

Price Action is a lagging analysis method (shows what has already happened) because it relies on historical price data.

5 / 5

Which elements are key in a strategy based purely on Price Action? (Select three correct options)

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